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Michigan Business Leaders Project Moderate Economic Growth Amidst Challenges

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Detroit, MI - February 1st, 2026 - Michigan's business leaders are projecting a continuation of moderate economic growth in 2026, although this optimism is tempered by significant concerns surrounding workforce talent, persistent inflation, and escalating geopolitical risks. The findings, released today by the Business Leaders of Michigan (BLM) in their annual Michigan Business Survey, paint a picture of an economy navigating a complex landscape. While the outlook isn't pessimistic, it's decidedly cautious, emphasizing the need for proactive strategies to address emerging challenges.

The survey, a comprehensive assessment of perspectives from the state's top executives, reveals a widespread expectation that Michigan will continue on a growth trajectory. However, the rate of growth is predicted to be modest, influenced heavily by external factors and internal constraints. This isn't a boom scenario, but rather a continuation of the steady, albeit slow, recovery witnessed in recent years.

The Talent Crisis Deepens:

Perhaps the most pressing concern voiced by business leaders is the acute shortage of skilled workers. This isn't a new issue, but the survey indicates the problem is intensifying, particularly in high-demand sectors like advanced manufacturing, technology, and healthcare. Executives report significant difficulties not only in finding qualified candidates but also in retaining existing employees. The competition for talent is fierce, with companies increasingly resorting to enhanced benefits packages, aggressive recruitment strategies, and investments in employee training and upskilling programs.

The implications of this talent shortage are far-reaching. It hinders business expansion, slows innovation, and ultimately impacts the state's ability to compete in the global marketplace. Solutions proposed by survey respondents include increased investment in STEM education at all levels, strengthening vocational training programs, and streamlining immigration policies to attract skilled workers from abroad. Several leaders emphasized the need for better collaboration between educational institutions and the private sector to ensure curriculum aligns with industry needs.

Inflationary Pressures Remain a Threat:

While the rate of inflation has eased from the peaks of 2023 and 2024, it remains a significant factor influencing business decisions. Leaders fear a resurgence of inflationary pressures could erode consumer spending and increase operational costs. Rising interest rates, implemented to combat inflation, also present a challenge, making it more expensive for businesses to invest in expansion projects and new equipment. The survey highlights a growing concern about "shrinkflation" - the practice of reducing product sizes while maintaining prices - and its potential impact on consumer confidence.

Geopolitical Instability Adds Uncertainty:

The survey also underscores the impact of global instability on Michigan's economy. Ongoing conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, coupled with escalating trade tensions, are disrupting supply chains and creating uncertainty for businesses operating internationally. Leaders expressed concerns about potential disruptions to critical raw materials and the rising cost of transportation. This geopolitical volatility is forcing companies to diversify their supply chains and explore reshoring opportunities to reduce reliance on unstable regions.

Bright Spots and Opportunities:

Despite these challenges, Michigan's business leaders remain optimistic about the state's long-term economic prospects. The survey points to several key factors driving this optimism. First, Michigan's economy has successfully diversified beyond its traditional reliance on the automotive industry. The growth of sectors like technology, healthcare, advanced mobility (including electric vehicle development), and life sciences is creating new opportunities and attracting investment.

Secondly, ongoing investments in infrastructure, including road repairs, bridge construction, and improvements to public transportation, are expected to enhance efficiency and support economic activity. The state's commitment to expanding broadband access, particularly in rural areas, is also seen as a positive step.

Finally, Michigan continues to foster a strong culture of innovation and entrepreneurship. The state's support for startups and small businesses, combined with a collaborative environment between universities, research institutions, and the private sector, is driving the development of new technologies and industries. The emphasis on advanced mobility, particularly the burgeoning electric vehicle industry centered around southeast Michigan, is projected to continue attracting significant investment and creating high-skilled jobs.

The Business Leaders of Michigan plans to continue monitoring these economic trends and advocating for policies that promote business growth and job creation throughout the state. The next survey is scheduled for release in early 2027.


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