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'End of Cycle' talk has eerie air of 'End of History'


Published on 2024-12-11 04:21:08 - Reuters
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  • Whatever 2025 holds for world markets, talk of an end to business cycle investing eerily reflects past periods of hubris and makes all the persistent bullishness seem slightly reckless.

The article from Reuters discusses the prevailing sentiment among investors and economists that the current economic cycle might be nearing its end, drawing parallels to the "end of history" concept where traditional economic cycles could be disrupted by factors like low interest rates, technological advancements, and shifts in global economic power. It highlights the eerie calm in financial markets, with low volatility and a lack of significant economic disruptions, leading some to speculate whether we are witnessing the end of traditional economic cycles. The piece also touches on the potential for unexpected events or "black swans" that could upend this calm, referencing historical economic anomalies and the current geopolitical tensions, like those in the Middle East, which could introduce volatility. However, there's a debate on whether these conditions signify a new normal or merely a pause before another cycle begins, with some experts warning against complacency in the face of potential economic shifts.

Read the Full Reuters Article at:
[ https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/end-cycle-talk-has-eerie-air-end-history-2024-12-11/ ]